Despite their simple names, these weather systems can cause a whole lot of trouble.
El NiÃ±o is forecast to continue through the summer and possibly into the fall, federal forecasters announced Thursday, which could weaken theÂ Atlantic hurricane season.
El NiÃ±o is a periodic natural warming of seawater in the tropical Pacific. It’s among the biggest influences on weather and climate in the United States and around the world.
Specificially, in its monthly forecast released Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center said there’s aÂ 66% chance that El NiÃ±o conditions will persist through the summer. Beyond that, however, the forecast calls for a 50-55% percent chance it will last through the fall, including the heart of the Atlantic hurricane season.
If it persists into the fall, that mightÂ be good news:Â “El NiÃ±o typically reduces Atlantic hurricane activity due to increased vertical wind shear,” Colorado State University meteorologist Phil Klotzbach tweeted Thursday morning.
But with only a 50-55% chance of lasting through the fall, a calmer storm season is far from a slam dunk.
On the other side of the Americas, however, warm water from El NiÃ±os tend to increase hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Hurricanes there seldom affectÂ land, but they canÂ impact Mexico, the U.S. Southwest and Hawaii.
Other than its impact on hurricanes, its influence on U.S. summer weather tends to be rather weak, according to Bloomberg.
Elsewhere, El NiÃ±os also raise the chances Brazil can be warmer than normal and leave India, Indonesia and eastern Australia drier, Bloomberg reported.
Read or Share this story: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2019/06/13/el-nino-forecast-continue-through-summer-could-weaken-atlantic-hurricanes/1444738001/